Thursday, September 9, 2010

Trouble in the Gulf next week?

It's not Tropical Storm Igor. It's not even the remnants of Tropical Storm Gaston. The tropical wave that could spell real trouble for the Gulf of Mexico next week is just called "Invest 92" (Investigative Area 92), but this wave could soon form into Tropical Storm Julia and cause trouble for the U.S. Gulf Coast.

The tracking models available on show this wave likely moving west-northwest, traversing the Caribbean later this week, and heading on a course that could put it in the Gulf of Mexico next week. The intensity models demand attention as well. The SHIPS model estimates maximum sustained winds of 116 MPH 120 hours from now, and graphs of both the SHIPS and IVCN model show this system blowing up over the next 3-5 days.

Stay tuned to 2010 Storm Surge Blog for storm surge updates as this system develops.

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